It was seven years ago that I left a tenured professorship to concentrate on investment. At the time the FTSE 100 was around 6,600. The market as a whole has not exactly moved in a positive direction over those seven years (although there have been dividends of around 3-4% per year).
Given the headwinds I suppose I can be reasonably pleased with my performance so far, especially in light of the fact that my approach – deep value – generally has not done well in an era of great excitement about growth companies. I remain convinced that value investing will have many years in the future when it out-performs growth investing across the market, giving a nice tailwind to help future portfolios along. Even without a boost from rising indices, a deep value strategy can perform well, as the tables below show. These are results (so far) of all the shares bought for the portfolios I’ve been writing about in my Newsletters. The comments I made at the time explaining the rationale for each investment are available for you to read in older newsletters - there is nowhere for me to hide from my appraisals made three, four or seven years ago. I present the returns after taking the hit on broker costs, stamp duty and bid/offer spread. (Some of you have joined us recently so, in case you are not familiar with them, I briefly describe the criteria for my portfolios following the portfolio performance tables.) The 2013 NCAV portfolio CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 French Con.25.7.13 £0.3047 zero Sold July 2015 £0.4378 44% Caledonian T25.7.13 £0.70 zero Sold April 2020 for £1.391 99% Fletcher King6.8.13 £0.30 14.25p Sold June 2016 for 46p 101% Northamber22.8.13 £0.287 1.6p Sold Oct 2016 £0.303 11% Titon5.9.13 £0.379 6.5p Sold May 2016 £1.06 197% Mallett12.11.13 £0.7682 12.7p Sold Nov 2014 £0.60 -5% AVERAGE 75%The 2014 NCAV portfolio CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 Holders Tech10.10.14 & 3.11.14 £0.47 1p Sold March 2017 £0.33 -28% Airea4.11.14 £0.1195 0.9p Sold Sept 2016 £0.309 166% Northamber17.11.14 £0.4265 0.7p Sold Oct 2016 £0.303 -27% Caledonian T30.12.14 £1.39 zero Sold April 2020 for £1.391 0 AVERAGE 28%The 2015 NCAV portfolio CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 PV Crystalox15.1.15 £0.122 zero Sold Dec 2016 £0.237 94% Arden Partners1.9.15 £0.422 1p Sold May 2018 £0.364 -11% Northamber4.9.15 £0.443 0.4p Sold Dec 2016 £0.303 -31% AVERAGE 17%The Buffett-style portfolio This type of share is rarer than the others, and so I combine all years. CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 Dewhurst9.4.14 £3.18 70.5p Sold February 2020 £7.217 149% MS International9.10.19 £1.723 3.5p £1.05 -37% Character20.1.20 & 5.6.20 £2.811 15p £3.16 18% AVERAGE 43%(I bought some more of Dewhurst in June 2014 at £3.11, December 2014 at £3.75, November 2017 at £5.46, February 2019 at £5.54 and April 2019 at £5.64.). Modified price earnings ratio portfolio 2015/16 CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 Haynes11.2.15 £1.159 33.5p Sold 2.10.19 £2.9175 181% AGA11.3.15 £1.002 zero Taken over June 2015 £1.456 45% Hogg Robinson10.4.15 £0.4709 2.37p Sold June 2016 £0.656 44% MS International3.7.15 £1.86 36p £1.05 -24% BHP Billiton24.9.15 £10.43 127p Sold May 2018 £16.90 74% TClarke5.11.15 £0.7916 13.61p Sold Feb 2020 £1.1215 59% Premier Farnell8.4.16 £1.222 3.6p Taken over 20.6.16 £1.632 36% AVERAGE 59%The AGA holding was doubled 30 April 2015 at a price of £0.9466. Modified price earnings ratio portfolio 2017 CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 September 2020 Price 30 September 2020 Return to 30 September 2020 Braemar28.6.17 £2.848 20p Sold June 2018 £2.639 0% Caffyns10.8.17 £5.012 52.5p Sold 17 July 2020 £2.389 -42% Connect27.9.17 £1.046 10.8p £0.185 -72% MS Intern14.11.17 £1.84 20p………………To read more subscribe to my premium newsletter Deep Value Shares – click here http://newsletters.advfn.com/deepvalueshares/subscribe-1
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Glen ArnoldI'm a full-time investor running my portfolio. I invest other people's money into the same shares I hold under the Managed Portfolio Service at Henry Spain. Each of my client's individual accounts is invested in roughly the same proportions as my "Model Portfolio" for which we charge 1.2% + VAT per year. If you would like to join us contact [email protected] investing is about making the right decisions, not many decisions.
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