In the last newsletter I drew attention to Orchard Funding’s (LSE:ORCH) net current asset value, NCAV, per share, at 72p, being appreciably more than its share price of 56.8p. This was a good starting point for including it in my net current value portfolio. Other factors, mostly on the qualitative side, also came into play - to be discussed in future newsletters.
First I’ll show how Orchard might have fitted into my Modified cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio portfolio as well as the NCAV portfolio. As you can see in the table below for the last seven and a half years Orchard has produced impressive earnings per share numbers for a share valued by Mr Market at 56.8p (market capitalisation £12.1m). The average is 6.5p (if I include an annualised EPS for 2021).
Thus the cyclically adjusted price earning ratio is 56.8p/6.5p = 8.7, about one-half of that for the UK market.
My, admittedly thin, reasoning for allocating to the NCAV portfolio is merely that I only have seven and half years of data for earnings rather than the more conventional ten used for a CAPE ratio calculation. It really doesn’t matter which portfolio it goes into; simply that it is deep value investment likely to provide a good return. Having the reinforcement of fulfilling not just one but two strict criterion is comforting.
It’s also comforting to see such a high proportion of earnings flowing to shareholders in the form of dividends. The business is cash generative, growing steadily (until Covid-19) at a rate which doesn’t absorb a high proportion of the money it makes.
The directors, including the 53.3% holder, prefer to reward shareholders regularly – his dividends amount to more than a third of a million each year – rather than splurge on rapid expansion and speculative ventures………………To read more subscribe to my premium newsletter Deep Value Shares – click here http://newsletters.advfn.com/deepvalueshares/subscribe-1
Prof. Glen Arnold
I'm a full-time investor running my portfolio from peaceful Leicestershire countryside. I also happen to be UK´s best selling investment book author and a Financial Times Best selling author.
Originally, I wrote all my ideas out in full on this website. Now that ADVFN publish them they are entitled to display the full version for six months – you can see them here. Thus can I only post the first few paragraphs here for anything younger than six months.
I write 2 to 3 newsletters per week - investing is about making the right decisions, not many decisions.