GLEN ARNOLD INVESTMENTS
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How have my portfolios performed?

2/7/2020

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It has been a tumultuous few months on the markets.  To protect the downside risk I sold a number of investments in the winter and early spring, particularly those associated with creating, maintaining or holding property:
  • Dewhurst sold 26th February at £7.22 (buying prices ranged from £3.18 to £5.64)
  • TClarke sold 26th February at £1.1215 (buying price 79.16p)
  • J Smart sold 17th March at £1.1712 and 15th April at £1.067 (buying price £1.13 and £1.16)
  • Caledonian Trust 1st April at £1.3915 (buying prices ranged from 70p to £2.29)
Northamber, a wholesaler of electronic goods, was also sold (at 57.17p - it was bought a few months before at 50.4p) because I worry about the quality of the managers who now have to face a severe recession.
Thus, I have shifted the portfolio to hold more cash.  However, there were two opportunities to buy which I couldn’t resist:
  • A doubling of my holding in Connect Group in mid-March at 15.1p
  • More than doubled my holding in Character Group, at an average of £2.811, in January and June.
Before the pandemic I made a bit of money by purchasing what I thought was a long term holding in property company Daejan at £52.90 per share on 5th February. A few days later the controlling family made a good offer to take the Group private.  I sold at £79.41 on 21st February.
In January I bought into the deep value investment of Wynnstay, a farm supplies company, at £3.173.
The tables below show the results (so far) of the shares bought for the portfolios I’ve been writing about in my Newsletters. The comments I made at the time explaining the rationale for each investment are available for you to read in older newsletters - there is nowhere for me to hide from my appraisals made three, four or five years ago.
I present the returns after taking the hit on broker costs, stamp duty and bid/offer spread.
My first purchase was 25th July 2013 when the FTSE100 was at 6,620. It is now at 6,170.
(Some of you have joined us recently so, in case you are not familiar with them, I briefly describe the criteria for my portfolios following the portfolio performance tables.)
The 2013 NCAV portfolio
 CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020 Price 30 June 2020 Return to 30 June 2020
French Con.25.7.13 £0.3047 zero Sold July 2015 £0.4378 44%
Caledonian T25.7.13 £0.70 zero Sold April 2020 for £1.391 99%
Fletcher King6.8.13 £0.30 14.25p Sold June 2016 for 46p 101%
Northamber22.8.13 £0.287 1.6p Sold Oct 2016 £0.303 11%
Titon5.9.13 £0.379 6.5p Sold May 2016 £1.06 197%
Mallett12.11.13 £0.7682 12.7p Sold Nov 2014 £0.60 -5%
AVERAGE             75%The 2014 NCAV portfolio
CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020 Price 30 June 2020 Return to 30 June 2020
Holders Tech10.10.14 & 3.11.14 £0.47 1p Sold March 2017 £0.33 -28%
Airea4.11.14 £0.1195 0.9p Sold Sept 2016 £0.309 166%
Northamber17.11.14 £0.4265 0.7p Sold Oct 2016 £0.303 -27%
Caledonian T30.12.14 £1.39 zero Sold April 2020 for £1.391 0
AVERAGE        28%The 2015 NCAV portfolio
 CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020 Price 30 June 2020 Return to 30 June 2020
PV Crystalox15.1.15 £0.122 zero Sold Dec 2016 £0.237 94%
Arden Partners1.9.15 £0.422 1p Sold May 2018 £0.364 -11%
Northamber4.9.15 £0.443 0.4p Sold Dec 2016 £0.303 -31%
AVERAGE        17%The Buffett-style portfolio
This type of share is rarer than the others, and so I combine all years.
CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020 Price 30 June 2020 Return to 30 June 2020
 Dewhurst9.4.14 £3.18 70.5p Sold February 2020 £7.217 149%
MS International9.10.19 £1.723 1.75p £1.21 -29%
Character20.1.20 & 5.6.20 £2.811 13p £3.22 19%
AVERAGE        46%(I bought some more of Dewhurst in June 2014 at £3.11, December 2014 at £3.75, November 2017 at £5.46, February 2019 at £5.54 and April 2019 at £5.64).
Modified price earnings ratio portfolio 2015/16
CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020 Price 30 June 2020 Return to 30 June 2020
Haynes11.2.15 £1.159 33.5p Sold 2.10.19 £2.9175 181%
AGA11.3.15 £1.002 zero Taken over June 2015 £1.456 45%
Hogg Robinson10.4.15 £0.4709 2.37p Sold June 2016 £0.656 44%
MS International3.7.15 £1.86 34.25p £1.21 -17%
BHP Billiton24.9.15 £10.43 127p Sold May 2018 £16.90 74%
TClarke5.11.15 £0.7916 13.61p Sold Feb 2020 £1.1215 59%
Premier Farnell8.4.16 £1.222 3.6p Taken over 20.6.16  £1.632 36%
AVERAGE        60%The AGA holding was doubled 30 April 2015 at a price of £0.9466.
Modified price earnings ratio portfolio 2017
CompanyPurchase date Purchase price Divs to 30 June 2020………………To read more subscribe to my premium newsletter Deep Value Shares – click here http://newsletters.advfn.com/deepvalueshares/subscribe-1




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    Prof. Glen Arnold

    I'm a full-time investor running my portfolio from peaceful Leicestershire countryside. I also happen to be UK´s best selling investment book author and a Financial Times Best selling author.

    Originally, I wrote all my ideas out in full on this website. Now that ADVFN publish them they are entitled to display the full version for six months – you can see them here. Thus can I only post the first few paragraphs here for anything younger than six months.

    I write 2 to 3 newsletters per week - investing is about making the right decisions, not many decisions.

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In the short-run, the market is a voting machine – reflecting a voter-registration test that requires only money, not intelligence or emotional stability – but in the long-run, the market is a weighing machine.  Benjamin Graham




  • About
  • Newsletter
  • Books
    • My Books
    • Other Books
  • Blog
  • Portfolio
    • Buffett-style
    • Modified price earnings ratio
    • Net Current Asset Value
  • Resources
    • glossary of investment terms >
      • A - B
      • C
      • D - E
      • F - G
      • H - I - J - K
      • L - M - N
      • O - P
      • Q - R
      • S
      • T - U - V - W - Y - Z
    • TOP 10 TIPS FOR INVESTORS